Market Context by Polymarket
The Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 30 September 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $738K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces strikes Moscow or any target within the municipality between August 27 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow causing damage, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? market resolve?
The market resolves on 30 September 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30??
$738K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.