Market Context by Polymarket
The US debt ceiling hike by...? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. June 1 currently leads at 100%, ahead of July 1 at 100% and June 5 at 100%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 1 July 2023.
Cumulative volume on this market is $497K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market group over when the US debt ceiling will be raised.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for US debt ceiling hike by...??
June 1 leads at 100%, followed by July 1 at 100% and June 5 at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on US debt ceiling hike by...??
June 1, at 100% implied probability.
How does the US debt ceiling hike by...? market resolve?
The market resolves on 1 July 2023. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on US debt ceiling hike by...??
$497K has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on US debt ceiling hike by...??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.