Market Context by Polymarket

The What will Biden say during farewell address? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Democracy 4+ times currently leads at 100%, ahead of Kamala Harris at 100% and Israel at 100%, across 19 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 15 January 2025.

Cumulative volume on this market is $608K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This is a market on predictions regarding the content of President Biden's farewell address.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for What will Biden say during farewell address??

Democracy 4+ times leads at 100%, followed by Kamala Harris at 100% and Israel at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 19 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on What will Biden say during farewell addres?

Democracy 4+ times, at 100% implied probability.

How does the What will Biden say during farewell address? market resolve?

The market resolves on 15 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on What will Biden say during farewell addres?

$608K has traded cumulatively on this market across 19 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on What will Biden say during farewell addres?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?

Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.