Market Context by Polymarket
The What will Elon say during Baier interview? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. DOGE 7+ times currently leads at 100%, ahead of PayPal at 100% and Social Security at 100%, across 21 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 27 March 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $414K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
Elon Musk is scheduled to sit for an interview with Bret Baier on March 27, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.axios.com/2025/03/25/elon-musk-doge-interview-fox-news-bret-baier This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this interview is definitively cancelled by Musk, or otherwise is not released by March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has been released in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the released has not been released in its entirety by March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no interview is released by this time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the interview.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for What will Elon say during Baier interview??
DOGE 7+ times leads at 100%, followed by PayPal at 100% and Social Security at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 21 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on What will Elon say during Baier interview??
DOGE 7+ times, at 100% implied probability.
How does the What will Elon say during Baier interview? market resolve?
The market resolves on 27 March 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on What will Elon say during Baier interview??
$414K has traded cumulatively on this market across 21 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on What will Elon say during Baier interview??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.