Market Context by Polymarket

The What will Trump/Elon say during Hannity interview? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Tax 5+ times currently leads at 100%, ahead of DOGE 3+ times at 100% and Kickback at 100%, across 19 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 18 February 2025.

Cumulative volume on this market is $3.4M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

Donald Trump and Elon Musk are scheduled to sit for their first joint interview on February 18. You can read more about that here: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5146248-trump-elon-musk-hannity-fox-news-doge/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Donald Trump or Elon Musk says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this interview is definitively cancelled by one or both individuals, or otherwise is not aired by February 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the "Yes" condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for What will Trump/Elon say during Hannity interview??

Tax 5+ times leads at 100%, followed by DOGE 3+ times at 100% and Kickback at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 19 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on What will Trump/Elon say during Hannity in?

Tax 5+ times, at 100% implied probability.

How does the What will Trump/Elon say during Hannity interview? market resolve?

The market resolves on 18 February 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on What will Trump/Elon say during Hannity in?

$3.4M has traded cumulatively on this market across 19 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on What will Trump/Elon say during Hannity in?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?

Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.