Market Context by Polymarket
The What will Trump say during his RNC speech? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Fake News currently leads at 100%, ahead of Felon at 100% and Hunter at 100%, across 19 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 18 July 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $801K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
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Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for What will Trump say during his RNC speech??
Fake News leads at 100%, followed by Felon at 100% and Hunter at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 19 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on What will Trump say during his RNC speech??
Fake News, at 100% implied probability.
How does the What will Trump say during his RNC speech? market resolve?
The market resolves on 18 July 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on What will Trump say during his RNC speech??
$801K has traded cumulatively on this market across 19 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on What will Trump say during his RNC speech??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.