Market Context by Polymarket
The What will Trump say this week? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. MAGA / Make America Great Again currently leads at 100%, ahead of Kamala at 100% and Pete / Hegseth at 100%, across 8 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 9 May 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $455K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 3, 00:00 AM ET and May 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for What will Trump say this week??
MAGA / Make America Great Again leads at 100%, followed by Kamala at 100% and Pete / Hegseth at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 8 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on What will Trump say this week??
MAGA / Make America Great Again, at 100% implied probability.
How does the What will Trump say this week? market resolve?
The market resolves on 9 May 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on What will Trump say this week??
$455K has traded cumulatively on this market across 8 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on What will Trump say this week??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.