Market Context by Polymarket

The What will Warren Buffett say during May 3 Shareholders Meeting? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Billion 20+ currently leads at 100%, ahead of Inflation 4+ at 100% and Elon / Musk at 100%, across 16 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 3 May 2025.

Cumulative volume on this market is $1.1M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

Warren Buffett is scheduled to participate in the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting on May 3, 2025, 2:00 PM. You can read more about that here: https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/sharehold.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warren Buffett says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the scheduled Annual Shareholders Meeting scheduled for May 3, 2025, 2:00 PM (https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/meet01/2024meetinginfo.pdf). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of these scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the press conference.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for What will Warren Buffett say during May 3 Shareholders Meeting??

Billion 20+ leads at 100%, followed by Inflation 4+ at 100% and Elon / Musk at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 16 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on What will Warren Buffett say during May 3?

Billion 20+, at 100% implied probability.

How does the What will Warren Buffett say during May 3 Shareholders Meeting? market resolve?

The market resolves on 3 May 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on What will Warren Buffett say during May 3?

$1.1M has traded cumulatively on this market across 16 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on What will Warren Buffett say during May 3?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on economics?

Fed and macro markets tend to move in step with rate futures and repricing after data releases. They are usually well-calibrated close to a decision date and noisier further out.