Market Context by Polymarket
The When will Democratic Nominee be chosen? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Aug 7 or earlier currently leads at 100%, ahead of Aug 8-18 at 0% and Aug 19-22 (During convention) at 0%, across 4 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 22 August 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $671K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on when the Democratic nominee for the presidential election will be selected.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for When will Democratic Nominee be chosen??
Aug 7 or earlier leads at 100%, followed by Aug 8-18 at 0% and Aug 19-22 (During convention) at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 4 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on When will Democratic Nominee be chosen??
Aug 7 or earlier, at 100% implied probability.
How does the When will Democratic Nominee be chosen? market resolve?
The market resolves on 22 August 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on When will Democratic Nominee be chosen??
$671K has traded cumulatively on this market across 4 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on When will Democratic Nominee be chosen??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.