Market Context by Polymarket

The When will the Palisades wildfire be fully contained? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. January 31 currently leads at 100%, ahead of January 12 at 0% and January 19 at 0%, across 4 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 26 January 2025.

Cumulative volume on this market is $712K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This is a market on predicting the date when the Palisades fire will be fully contained.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for When will the Palisades wildfire be fully contained??

January 31 leads at 100%, followed by January 12 at 0% and January 19 at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 4 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on When will the Palisades wildfire be fully?

January 31, at 100% implied probability.

How does the When will the Palisades wildfire be fully contained? market resolve?

The market resolves on 26 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on When will the Palisades wildfire be fully?

$712K has traded cumulatively on this market across 4 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on When will the Palisades wildfire be fully?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.