Market Context by Polymarket
The Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Jill Stein currently leads at 100%, ahead of RFK Jr. at 0% and Chase Oliver at 0%, across 6 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 5 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.7M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a negrisk market group over which 3rd party candidate in the 2024 US Presidential election will win the greatest number of votes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes??
Jill Stein leads at 100%, followed by RFK Jr. at 0% and Chase Oliver at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 6 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on 3rd party candidate wins most votes??
Jill Stein, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Which 3rd party candidate wins most votes? market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on 3rd party candidate wins most votes??
$1.7M has traded cumulatively on this market across 6 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on 3rd party candidate wins most votes??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.