Market Context by Polymarket

The Which movie will win the most Oscars? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Anora currently leads at 100%, ahead of Other (Archived) at 36% and Emilia Pérez at 0%, across 8 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 2 March 2025.

Cumulative volume on this market is $386K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. This market will resolve to the film that wins a greater number of Oscars than any other in the 2025 Academy Awards. Oscars won by people for their participation in the creation of a film will count toward that film's number of Oscars. If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Which movie will win the most Oscars??

Anora leads at 100%, followed by Other (Archived) at 36% and Emilia Pérez at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 8 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on movie will win the most Oscars??

Anora, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Which movie will win the most Oscars? market resolve?

The market resolves on 2 March 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on movie will win the most Oscars??

$386K has traded cumulatively on this market across 8 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on movie will win the most Oscars??

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on entertainment?

Awards markets are driven by a small number of well-informed traders and industry signals such as guild awards. Volume is usually modest, so prices can move a long way on relatively small trades.