Market Context by Polymarket
The Which Parties will be part of next German Government? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. CDU/CSU currently leads at 100%, ahead of SPD at 100% and AfD at 0%, across 7 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 30 June 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $9.9M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on predicting the parties that will be included in the next German government.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Which Parties will be part of next German Government??
CDU/CSU leads at 100%, followed by SPD at 100% and AfD at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 7 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Parties will be part of next German Govern?
CDU/CSU, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Which Parties will be part of next German Government? market resolve?
The market resolves on 30 June 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Parties will be part of next German Govern?
$9.9M has traded cumulatively on this market across 7 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Parties will be part of next German Govern?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.