Market Context by Polymarket

The Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Democratic currently leads at 100%, ahead of Republican at 0%. The market resolves on 14 January 2022.

Cumulative volume on this market is $1.5M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This is a market on which party will win Arizona in the 2020 presidential election. This market will resolve based on the information made available by the Elections Division of the Arizona Secretary of State’s Office. Official results for the General Election to be held on November 3, 2020 will be available in the following days. In the event of a recount or other unforeseen delay, the market will not resolve until the final information is published and certified by the Elections Division of the Arizona Secretary of State’s Office. Note: Dems = Democrats and Reps = Republicans. Names were shortened for the sake of space. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). Addition: State markets on Polymarket (Georgia, Pennsylvania, Arizona, North Carolina), as per their consistent resolution conditions, will be kept open until the results are certified by each respective state’s Secretary of State. They may be kept open for automatic recounts, in which case they will be closed once the recount is complete and the results are made public. If certifications are delayed due to litigation, the market will remain open, but once the results are certified and any automatic recount is complete, markets will not be kept open in the case of further litigation. Markets may be extended or closed at the sole discretion of the Market Integrity Committee (MIC).

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election??

Democratic leads at 100%, followed by Republican at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.

Who is the favourite on party will win Arizona in th 2020?

Democratic, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election? market resolve?

The market resolves on 14 January 2022. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on party will win Arizona in th 2020?

$1.5M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on party will win Arizona in th 2020?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.