Market Context by Polymarket
The Which party wins South Korea presidential election? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Democratic Party currently leads at 100%, ahead of Party A at 100% and Party B at 100%, across 11 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 3 June 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $4.8M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
South Korean presidential elections will occur on or before June 3, 2025 following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol. This market will resolve according to the party of the next elected president of South Korea following this election. Any interim/acting President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next President of South Korea is elected by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Which party wins South Korea presidential election??
Democratic Party leads at 100%, followed by Party A at 100% and Party B at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 11 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on party wins South Korea election??
Democratic Party, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Which party wins South Korea presidential election? market resolve?
The market resolves on 3 June 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on party wins South Korea election??
$4.8M has traded cumulatively on this market across 11 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on party wins South Korea election??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.