Market Context by Polymarket
The Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Person H currently leads at 100%, ahead of Person I at 100% and Person J at 100%, across 28 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 28 October 2026.
Cumulative volume on this market is $73M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Prime Minister of Israel after the next election??
Person H leads at 100%, followed by Person I at 100% and Person J at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 28 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Prime Minister of Israel after the next el?
Person H, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? market resolve?
The market resolves on 28 October 2026. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Prime Minister of Israel after the next el?
$73M has traded cumulatively on this market across 28 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Prime Minister of Israel after the next el?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.