Market Context by Polymarket
The Who will be the next speaker? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Kevin McCarthy currently leads at 100%, ahead of Patrick McHenry at 100% and Steve Scalise at 100%, across 11 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 30 June 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $553K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Who will be the next speaker??
Kevin McCarthy leads at 100%, followed by Patrick McHenry at 100% and Steve Scalise at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 11 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on be the next speaker??
Kevin McCarthy, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Who will be the next speaker? market resolve?
The market resolves on 30 June 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on be the next speaker??
$553K has traded cumulatively on this market across 11 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on be the next speaker??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.