Market Context by Polymarket
The Who will call for Biden to drop out? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Nancy Pelosi currently leads at 100%, ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 100% and Hillary Clinton at 100%, across 4 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 19 August 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $415K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
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Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Who will call for Biden to drop out??
Nancy Pelosi leads at 100%, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 100% and Hillary Clinton at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 4 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on call for Biden to drop out??
Nancy Pelosi, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Who will call for Biden to drop out? market resolve?
The market resolves on 19 August 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on call for Biden to drop out??
$415K has traded cumulatively on this market across 4 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on call for Biden to drop out??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.