Market Context by Polymarket
The Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 1 May 2021.
Cumulative volume on this market is $2.1M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on whether 150 million people in The United States of America will have initiated vaccination, according to the CDC COVID tracker, by the resolution date, May 1, 2021, 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 150 million people or more are listed as having received their initial dose of vaccination by the resolution source. This only concerns the first dose of vaccination. For vaccines requiring two doses for inoculation, this market considers only the first dose to be considered having initiated vaccination. This market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, fewer than 150 million people have initiated vaccination by the resolution date. The resolution source for this market will be the official data published by the CDC available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations This market will resolve according to the data as available immediately at the time of resolution, and resolution will not be delayed for the purpose of waiting for updated data from a specific date.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on 150 million people have rece 2021?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? market resolve?
The market resolves on 1 May 2021. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on 150 million people have rece 2021?
$2.1M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on 150 million people have rece 2021?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.