Market Context by Polymarket
The Will an FBI agent be charged for involvement in Jan 6? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 31 March 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $520K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz said there were more than two dozen confidential human sources (CHSs) in the crowd outside the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 (see: https://abcnews.go.com/US/probe-finds-no-evidence-feds-involved-inciting-jan-6/story?id=116721978). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of a current or former FBI employee or informant stemming from their involvement in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will an FBI agent be charged for involvement in Jan 6??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on an FBI agent be charged for involvement in?
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will an FBI agent be charged for involvement in Jan 6? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 March 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on an FBI agent be charged for involvement in?
$520K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on an FBI agent be charged for involvement in?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.