Market Context by Polymarket
The Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 20 January 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $381K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
On November 21, 2024, Matt Gaetz announced that he would be withdrawing himself from consideration for the position of Attorney General after having previously been announced as Trump’s nominee. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one additional individual nominated by Donald Trump for a cabinet-level position requiring Senate confirmation is withdrawn by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. Any individual who Trump has announced an intention to nominate will be considered nominated. Similarly, announcements from the nominee or Trump or one of his representatives that the nominee will be withdrawn will qualify for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn be?
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration? market resolve?
The market resolves on 20 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn be?
$381K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn be?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.