Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Biden speak at the DNC? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 22 August 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.1M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
The 2024 Democratic National Convention is scheduled for August 19-22, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is a speaker at the Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Biden will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech in-person at the convention. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Biden speak at the DNC??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Biden speak at the DNC??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Biden speak at the DNC? market resolve?
The market resolves on 22 August 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Biden speak at the DNC??
$1.1M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Biden speak at the DNC??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.