Market Context by Polymarket
The Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 17 January 2022.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.5M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on if the USD price of Bitcoin $BTC will be above $20,000 at any point before January 1st, 2021, 12:00am EST, according to Coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin. This market starts on November 6th, 2020. This market will resolve to "Yes" whenever BTC breaks $20,000 according to Coinmarketcap, and if that condition is not met by January 1st, 2021, it will resolve to "No". In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will $BTC break $20k before 2021??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on $BTC break $20k before 2021??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? market resolve?
The market resolves on 17 January 2022. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on $BTC break $20k before 2021??
$1.5M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on $BTC break $20k before 2021??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.