Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 28 May 2023.
Cumulative volume on this market is $4.8M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, the 12th President of Turkey, is seeking reelection in the 2023 Turkish general election, currently scheduled to take place on May 14, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Recep Tayyip Erdogan wins the 2023 Turkish presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result isn't known by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Turkish government (e.g. https://www.ysk.gov.tr/en/main-page), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish election??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? market resolve?
The market resolves on 28 May 2023. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish election??
$4.8M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish election??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.