Market Context by Polymarket
The Will GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary election? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 26 October 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $332K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if GD (kartuli otsneba – demok'rat'iuli sakartvelo, Georgian Dream - Democratic Georgia) controls 76 or more seats in the Parliament of Georgia after the results of the 2024 Georgian parliamentary election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Georgian government and/or information published through the official website of Georgia's Central Election Commission (https://cesko.ge/en/home) will be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary election??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary election? market resolve?
The market resolves on 26 October 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary?
$332K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.