Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. October 31 currently leads at 100%, ahead of October 15 at 100% and October 13 at 100%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 October 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $5.2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Hostage rescues will not qualify. If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source. The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...??
October 31 leads at 100%, followed by October 15 at 100% and October 13 at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...??
October 31, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 October 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...??
$5.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.