Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 22 August 2022.
Cumulative volume on this market is $8.6M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on if Joe Biden will be inaugurated as President of the United States of America on Inauguration Day—January 20th, 2021. At the time of market creation, AP, CNN, WSJ, Fox, and more have called the election for Joe Biden as the winner, and formally declared him the president-elect. Trump, however, has continued to contest the results legally and some have speculated that there may be other maneuvers by which someone other than Joe Biden would be inaugurated. This market will not resolve, under any circumstances, until the resolution date—January 20th, 2021. If Donald Trump, or anyone else other than Joe Biden, is inaugurated on that day as President of the USA, the market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason, no Presidential inauguration is held on that date, this market will resolve to “No”. If Joe Biden is inaugurated to the office of President of the United States on January 20th, 2021, this market will resolve to “yes”. The resolution source will be https://www.usa.gov/presidents#item-37462 and https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/presidents/, both official government sources.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Joe Biden be inaugurated as 2021?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? market resolve?
The market resolves on 22 August 2022. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Joe Biden be inaugurated as 2021?
$8.6M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Joe Biden be inaugurated as 2021?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.