Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 21 January 2021.
Cumulative volume on this market is $875K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on whether an official inauguration of Joe Biden as the President of the United States will take place on January 20th, 2021 outdoors at the western front of the U.S. Capitol facing the National Mall (the site used for all Inaugurations since Ronald Reagan's in 1981). Here is an image of the exact location in question: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9f/Inauguration-01-20-2009.jpg. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if an official inauguration (defined as an inauguration that results in the demonstrated powers of the US Presidency) is held on January 20th, 2021 in-person, outdoors at the western front of the U.S. Capitol facing the National Mall. If an inauguration happens indoors or at a different location, or no inauguration happens that day at all, this market will resolve to “No“. In the event of ambiguity in regards to the outcome of this market, it will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Joe Biden be officially inau 2021?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? market resolve?
The market resolves on 21 January 2021. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Joe Biden be officially inau 2021?
$875K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Joe Biden be officially inau 2021?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.