Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on...? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. April 1, 2023 currently leads at 100%, ahead of June 1, 2023 at 100% and August 1, 2023 at 100%, across 8 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 1 June 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $3.3M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market group on whether Joe Biden will be President of the United States on different dates.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on...??
April 1, 2023 leads at 100%, followed by June 1, 2023 at 100% and August 1, 2023 at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 8 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Joe Biden be President of the United State?
April 1, 2023, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on...? market resolve?
The market resolves on 1 June 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Joe Biden be President of the United State?
$3.3M has traded cumulatively on this market across 8 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Joe Biden be President of the United State?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.