Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 30 April 2021.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on April 30, 2021, 11:59 PM EST. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Joe Biden is listed as being the current President of the United States according to official US government sources, like the link provided as the resolution source. If, for any reason, Joe Biden is not the sitting President of the United States on that date, this market will resolve to “No“. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). The resolution source for this market will be the official website of the United States President, https://www.whitehouse.gov/
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Joe Biden be President of th 2021?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? market resolve?
The market resolves on 30 April 2021. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Joe Biden be President of th 2021?
$1.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Joe Biden be President of th 2021?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.