Market Context by Polymarket

The Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 89%, ahead of No at 11%. The market resolves on 1 January 2027.

Cumulative volume on this market is $289K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur: 1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election. 2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify. If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify. Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide. If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027??

Yes leads at 89%, followed by No at 11%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.

Who is the favourite on Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027??

Yes, at 89% implied probability.

How does the Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? market resolve?

The market resolves on 1 January 2027. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027??

$289K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027??

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?

Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.