Market Context by Polymarket
The Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 19 January 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.7M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
On December 16, MicroStrategy announced that "as of December 15, 2024, the Company, together with its subsidiaries, held an aggregate of approximately 439,000 bitcoins (see: https://www.microstrategy.com/press/microstrategy-acquires-15350-btc-achieves-btc-yield-of-46-qtd-72-ytd-now-holds-439000-btc_12-16-2024). This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy holds 500,000 or more bitcoins at any point before January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump?
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration? market resolve?
The market resolves on 19 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump?
$1.7M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on crypto?
Crypto markets price rapidly and reflect sentiment shifts within minutes, but they are volatile and prone to sharp reversals on thin liquidity. Volume matters more than price level when judging conviction.