Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 5 March 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $378K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
Super Tuesday (March 5) is a day in the Republican nomination process in which 15 states hold their Republican primaries/caucuses. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign before the main polling places open on Super Tuesday (7 AM ET, March 5, 2024). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 March 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday??
$378K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.