Market Context by Polymarket
The Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 31 December 2022.
Cumulative volume on this market is $362K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
In Response to Trader Inquiry: Retweets do not count for this market's resolution. Twitter permanently banned former president of the USA, Donald Trump, from the platform in January 2021 during the final days of his term. His handle @realDonaldTrump had over 88.9 million followers. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account (@realDonaldTrump) tweets at least once after May 10, 2022, and by December 31, 2022, (11:59:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Donald J. Trump's verified Twitter account: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump. Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Twitter account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald J. Trump tweets from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2022. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022??
$362K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.