Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 31 March 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $2.4M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia abandons the Tartus Naval Facility in Syria by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "abandon" is defined as Russia ceasing all military operations and withdrawing all personnel from the facility. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Russia abandon Syrian naval base before Ap?
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 March 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Russia abandon Syrian naval base before Ap?
$2.4M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Russia abandon Syrian naval base before Ap?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.