Market Context by Polymarket
The Will SBF launch a coin before April? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 31 March 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $568K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
Sam Bankman-Fried is tweeting again (https://x.com/SBF_FTX/status/1894204086754709951). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried officially launches a token between February 24 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Sam Bankman-Fried, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will SBF launch a coin before April??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on SBF launch a coin before April??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will SBF launch a coin before April? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 March 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on SBF launch a coin before April??
$568K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on SBF launch a coin before April??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.