Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Sweden join NATO by...? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. April 30 currently leads at 100%, ahead of May 31 at 100% and June 30 at 100%, across 7 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 October 2023.
Cumulative volume on this market is $398K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market group over by which date Sweden will have joined NATO.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Sweden join NATO by...??
April 30 leads at 100%, followed by May 31 at 100% and June 30 at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 7 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Sweden join NATO by...??
April 30, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Sweden join NATO by...? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 October 2023. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Sweden join NATO by...??
$398K has traded cumulatively on this market across 7 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Sweden join NATO by...??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.