Market Context by Polymarket
The Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 18 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $605K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during it's landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the sixth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the sixth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the sixth launch, and this market will stay open until the sixth launch has occurred. If the sixth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy? market resolve?
The market resolves on 18 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy??
$605K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.