Market Context by Polymarket
The Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 17 September 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $493K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's September 2024 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased by exactly 75 basis points below the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 17 - 18, 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by November 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept?
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting? market resolve?
The market resolves on 17 September 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept?
$493K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on economics?
Fed and macro markets tend to move in step with rate futures and repricing after data releases. They are usually well-calibrated close to a decision date and noisier further out.