Market Context by Polymarket
The Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 2 October 2023.
Cumulative volume on this market is $296K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if is a US government shutdown occurs between Sep 1 and October 2, 2023, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary a US government shutdown occurs, whether it is a partial shutdown, or a full shutdown. The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on there be a US government shutdown by Octob?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? market resolve?
The market resolves on 2 October 2023. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on there be a US government shutdown by Octob?
$296K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on there be a US government shutdown by Octob?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.