Market Context by Polymarket
The Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 24 January 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $336K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the TikTok iOS app is available for download on the US Apple App Store between Jan 19, 7:30 PM and January 24, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the app is inaccessible due to technical issues with the App Store itself, it will still be considered available for download. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Apple and the Apple App Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on TikTok be on the App Store by Friday??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday? market resolve?
The market resolves on 24 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on TikTok be on the App Store by Friday??
$336K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on TikTok be on the App Store by Friday??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.