Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Trump complete his first term? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 20 January 2021.
Cumulative volume on this market is $692K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on if Donald Trump will complete his first four-year term as President of the United States without consideration for temporary incapacity. The resolution source for this market will be the equivalent PredictIt market, https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5158/Will-Donald-Trump-complete-his-first-term. If the source market resolves as Yes, this market will also resolve to Yes. If it resolves to No, this market will also resolve to No.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Trump complete his first term??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Trump complete his first term??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Trump complete his first term? market resolve?
The market resolves on 20 January 2021. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump complete his first term??
$692K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump complete his first term??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.