Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 30 April 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $525K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which removes the 25% general tariff on Mexico by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which remove the general 25% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 25% without removing it will not qualify. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May? market resolve?
The market resolves on 30 April 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May??
$525K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.