Market Context by Polymarket

The Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 31 December 2024.

Cumulative volume on this market is $6.2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This is a market on whether the market capitalization of $USDC (USD Coin) will surpass that of $USDT (Tether) within this market's timeframe, according to CoinGecko. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data. This market's timeframe spans from January 1, 2024 to December 31, 2024 (inclusive). If, according to the resolution source, $USDC has a greater market cap than $USDT for any day within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the market cap of $USDC is equal to or lower than that of $USDT for every day within this market's timeframe, then this market will resolve to “No”. This market may only resolve to "No" once the December 31 market cap data is available. Note that only the historical data numbers will be used for the comparison of the market caps. If the URLs linking to CoinGecko's Historical Data change at any point, the new URLs will be used instead of the ones initially listed. If the resolution data for any of the relevant days remains unavailable through January 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, CoinMarketCap historical data will be used instead.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024??

No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.

Who is the favourite on USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024??

No, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? market resolve?

The market resolves on 31 December 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024??

$6.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024??

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on crypto?

Crypto markets price rapidly and reflect sentiment shifts within minutes, but they are volatile and prone to sharp reversals on thin liquidity. Volume matters more than price level when judging conviction.