Market Context by Polymarket
The Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 9 January 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $3.6M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on how much 'Wicked' (2024) will gross domestically by January 9. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the total domestic gross for relevant dates are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This is a market on how much 'Wicked' will gross domestically by January 9, 2025. The “Box Office” tab found at the https://the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office link will be used to resolve this market, specifically the "Total Gross" column on the "Daily Box Office Performance" chart. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked' grosses more than $500,000,000 domestically by January 9, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any finalized numbers in the "Total Gross" column (for dates January 9, 2025 and before) show a value of more than $500 million, this market will resolve immediately to "Yes." This market may only resolve to "No" once the January 9, 2025 "Total Gross" number is finalized, or if the January 9, 2025 date does not become available by January 16, the nearest previous date with available data.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million dome?
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9? market resolve?
The market resolves on 9 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million dome?
$3.6M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million dome?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.