Market Context by Polymarket
The Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 31 March 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $350K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the March 22 attack at Crocus City Hall is officially attributed to a Ukrainian group by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. ‘Ukrainian group’ will be considered any group which primarily consists of Ukrainians, or is otherwise affiliated with the government of Ukraine. This market may resolve once it is definitively determined whether or not the attack was attributed to a Ukrainian group. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Russian and Ukrainian governments and security services. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack? ?
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 March 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack??
$350K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.