Market Context by Polymarket
The Arizona Senate Election Winner market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Ruben Gallego currently leads at 100%, ahead of Kari Lake at 0% and Other at 0%, across 3 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 5 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $20M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on predicting the winner of the Arizona Senate election.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Arizona Senate Election Winner?
Ruben Gallego leads at 100%, followed by Kari Lake at 0% and Other at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 3 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Arizona Senate Election?
Ruben Gallego, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Arizona Senate Election Winner market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Arizona Senate Election?
$20M has traded cumulatively on this market across 3 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Arizona Senate Election?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.