Market Context by Polymarket
The Trump Hush Money sentence before election? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Probation currently leads at 1%, ahead of >$100k fine at 1% and >$1m fine at 0%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 5 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $577K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on the likelihood of a sentencing outcome for Donald Trump's hush money case.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Trump Hush Money sentence before election??
Probation leads at 1%, followed by >$100k fine at 1% and >$1m fine at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Trump Hush Money sentence before election??
Probation, at 1% implied probability.
How does the Trump Hush Money sentence before election? market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump Hush Money sentence before election??
$577K has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump Hush Money sentence before election??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.