Market Context by Polymarket
The Trump prison time in NY case before election? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No prison time currently leads at 100%, ahead of 1-11 months at 0% and 12-23 months at 0%, across 6 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 5 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $10M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on the anticipated length of prison time for Trump related to his hush money sentence.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Trump prison time in NY case before election??
No prison time leads at 100%, followed by 1-11 months at 0% and 12-23 months at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 6 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Trump prison time in NY case before electi?
No prison time, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Trump prison time in NY case before election? market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump prison time in NY case before electi?
$10M has traded cumulatively on this market across 6 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump prison time in NY case before electi?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.