Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Biden finish his term? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 20 January 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $65M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden successfully finishes his term as President of the United States of America without any interruptions. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will not resolve "Yes" until the presidency is successfully transferred from Biden to another person at the completion of his term on January 20, 2025, or until Biden is sworn into the presidency again on that date. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Biden finish his term??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Biden finish his term??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Biden finish his term? market resolve?
The market resolves on 20 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Biden finish his term??
$65M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Biden finish his term??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.